Wicker-Musgrove Closer Than 1 Month Ago
Daily Kos posted new poll numbers on the Wicker-Musgrove race yesterday, and they show a much closer race than the 52-43 lead Rasmussen gave McCain back in August.
Wicker (R) 48 (45)
Musgrove (D) 43 (44)
The numbers should be heartening to Musgroves supporters, but heҒs also not dominating some key demographics. Musgrove pulled 75% of black respondents, but 18% declared themselves undecided. He also only got 50% of the Delta/Jackson region, which is supposed to be his stronghold.
It will be interesting to see how the ballot controversy affects this race. I could see Musgrove getting a financial boost from all the national attention.
Posted by Ward Schaefer at 03:49 PM in MS Newspapers | Email this entry
Comments:
CC, pretty good analysis. As a North Carolinian, I think Dole is looking great for re-election right now. Her %’s have been well over the 50% mark. 52% or 54% in the polls vs. Hagan. Dole’s money is also well ahead of Hagan. McCain is ahead here in NC & when the nasty ads run in this state of Obama saying “small town people turn to guns & religion out of bitterness”, McCain will be winning this state by more and so will Dole. Lt. gov. testking JN0-303 Perdue was an early endorser of Obama, and McCrory is turning out to be a great candidate for gov. here in NC. Right now it’s a statistical tie: Perdue 47%-McCrory 46% and Liberterian Munger w/ 3%. It could well be a great year here in NC for Republicans. The Presidential 15 EV, Dole winning comfortably vs. Hagan & finally winning back the governor’s mansion. It’s good to be a Republican here in NC.
I think Norm Coleman & Ted Stevens is still in pretty good shape. I think in the end they will both win re-election. Wicker, Smith & Sununu are all in for very tough fights. Sununu is almost certainly helped by the fact that McCain is the GOP nominee. That boosts his chances and so does his cash advantage over Shaheen. It’s going to be a tough fight. Wicker has a big cash advantage in Miss., and get the pleasure of sharing the ticket with US Senator Thad Cochran who will win re-election easily. Gordon Smith of Oregon is a centrist. He won’t motivate the R base, but has lots of cash & big name recognition in Oregon. Smith vs. testking JN0-521 Merckly will be a tough battle, but I’d say Smith has the advantage. In Colorodo, Schaffer hasn’t been a great candidate this far. He has erred quite a bit, he has to feel good that McCain’s numbers are going up in Colo. and that Udall has never been past 50% in polling. This one is still far from over. I’d say leans Udall now, though. Your right, CC, Virginia is over. Warner will clean Gilmore’s clock. The big question in Va.: will Mark Warner create coat-tails for Barack Obama & the 11th congressional district as Tom Davis retires? Warner wins easily. New Mexico is an interesting race. Noone thought Stevan Pearce could beat Heather Wilson in the R primary, and he did it. Even after Domenici endorsed Wilson in the 11th hour, Pearce still pulled it out. Pearce will motivate the base, have good fundraising as he always has, has a bit of personal wealth he is likely to be willing to spend & will have the Club For Growth squarly in his corner. Environmental groups are attacking Pearce already, but the Club will certainly be attacking Udall. They have alot of ammunition to go on. Domenici will likely help McCain & Pearce campaign hard in NM. This one looks like Udall now, but Pearce just finished a very tough primary and the race is just beginning. Remember how things looked in the Udall/Pearce primary in the beginning? Well, Pearce won. This one is just developing. Democrats can play hard in Colorodo, New Mexico, New Hampshire & Oregon. They almost have a guarantee in Virginia. Republicans will play hard in & need to win in La. Kennedy is a candidate who can pick up a seat for them there. R’s know the very best they can do is lose a few seats. testking N10-003 If R’s win La. and D’s win Virginia, then R’s still have to defend NH, Colorodo, New Mexico & Oregon hard. Good news is, Sununu & Smith have their own money and both have cash advantages over their D opponent. R’s have to play really hard in Colorodo & New Mexico to try to break even.
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Posted by on 04/11 at 11:07 PM | #
Hi..It was, in fact, Wicker’s ability to tie the liberal record of Obama to Musgrove that was the deciding difference in the debate. By bringing up the issue of Judicial appointments as they might affect the Second Amendment as well as abortion and traditional marriage, Wicker demonstrated the continuing difficulty of any Democrat in a statewide election, regardless of how conservative they might be.
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Posted by on 07/05 at 02:35 AM | #
Hi..Despite the fact that Wicker, a Republican, and Musgrove, a Democrat, were roommates as state legislators and are old friends, the race that has national implications as the two parties struggle for Congressional control has turned ugly.
Posted by on 07/05 at 04:29 AM | #
